Wednesday's contest between the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) and Miami Marlins (84-78) matching up at Citizens Bank Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Phillies, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will start at 8:08 PM ET on October 4.

The probable pitchers are Aaron Nola (12-9) for the Phillies and Braxton Garrett (9-7) for the Marlins.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 at 8:08 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!

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Phillies vs. Marlins Score Prediction

Our prediction for this game is Phillies 5, Marlins 4.

Total Prediction for Phillies vs. Marlins

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Discover More About This Game

Phillies Performance Insights

  • The Phillies have played as the favorite in seven of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Philadelphia and its opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • There has not been a spread set for any of the Phillies' last 10 games.
  • The Phillies have been favorites in 106 games this season and won 64 (60.4%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 34-19, a 64.2% win rate, when favored by -150 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Philadelphia has scored the eighth-most runs in the majors this season with 796.
  • The Phillies have a 4.04 team ERA that ranks 11th among all league pitching staffs.

Marlins Performance Insights

  • The Marlins have played as the underdog in six of their past 10 games and have gone 3-3 in those contests.
  • In its previous 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, Miami and its opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • Bookmakers have not posted a runline in any of the Marlins' past 10 games.
  • The Marlins have won in 40, or 46.5%, of the 86 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Miami has a win-loss record of 12-19 when favored by +125 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • The offense for Miami is No. 26 in baseball scoring 4.1 runs per game (666 total runs).
  • The Marlins have the 16th-ranked ERA (4.26) in the majors this season.

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Phillies Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
September 28 Pirates L 3-2 Zack Wheeler vs Luis Ortiz
September 30 @ Mets L 4-3 Taijuan Walker vs Tylor Megill
September 30 @ Mets L 11-4 Michael Plassmeyer vs José Quintana
October 1 @ Mets W 9-1 Matt Strahm vs Jose Butto
October 3 Marlins W 4-1 Zack Wheeler vs Jesús Luzardo
October 4 Marlins - Aaron Nola vs Braxton Garrett

Marlins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
September 29 @ Pirates W 4-3 Edward Cabrera vs Osvaldo Bido
September 30 @ Pirates W 7-3 JT Chargois vs Quinn Priester
October 1 @ Pirates L 3-0 Ryan Weathers vs Andre Jackson
October 2 @ Mets L 1-0 Jesús Luzardo vs David Peterson
October 3 @ Phillies L 4-1 Jesús Luzardo vs Zack Wheeler
October 4 @ Phillies - Braxton Garrett vs Aaron Nola